Early this morning, the nominees for the 86th Academy Awards were announced. After the Golden Globes—which doubles its film and acting nominees by classifying films as either Comedy/Musical or Drama and nominating performances for both—the Oscar list represents a winnowing of sorts. Some of the people whose names were called for the Globes were snubbed by the Academy for the Oscar list.

There are 9 Best Picture nominees, so get cracking on seeing them all. Both Saving Mr Banks and Lee Daniels’ The Butler were left out—in a different year, they might have squeaked in, but this year’s field was so strong that the snubs for these once-buzzed pictures seems justified.

In the Best Actor category, one notable omission is Tom Hanks for Captain Phillips. I guess he’s no longer the captain now…that honor will more likely go to Matthew McConaughey or Leonardo DiCaprio (both Golden Globe winners), or Chiwetel Ejiofor, who probably should have won the Golden Globe for his performance in 12 Years a Slave.

For Best Actress, all eyes will probably be on Amy Adams and Cate Blanchett—though my heart belongs to Sandra Bullock, who ably carried Gravity, giving the film’s amazing special effects the emotional ballast they needed to have maximum impact.

Jared Leto probably has Best Supporting Actor locked up, though the Supporting categories are often where upsets tend to occur. Same goes for Jennifer Lawrence in Best Supporting Actress; I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see J-Law bested by Lupita Nyong’o.

In fact, the standing of 12 Years a Slave is probably one of the biggest question marks going into the Oscars. There was a moment in the Golden Globes where it seemed like the film might get shut out—with Ejiofor, Nyong’o, and director Steve McQueen losing the award to other nominees—until it pulled out an ultimate Best Picture (Drama) win. My guess is that the perception that 12 Years got robbed might boost the picture’s prospects going into the Oscars, ultimately walking home with Best Picture, Best Director, and either Best Actor or Best Supporting Actress. Maybe even all four.